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2022 NFL Week 16 playoff picture: Clinching scenarios, standings

Posted on December 22, 2022

9:00 AM ET

  • ESPN staff

With just three weeks left in the 2022 NFL regular season, the playoff picture is shaping up. More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. However, the race to the playoffs continues as top teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 16

The Baltimore Ravens and the Cincinnati Bengals are looking to make a final push in their quest for the AFC North title, while the New York Giants are hoping to take a big step towards an NFC playoff spot when they face the Minnesota Vikings.

Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 16 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 total teams making the field, seven from the NFC and seven from the AFC.

NFL playoff matchups as it stands

AFC

Teams that have clinched postseason berths: Bills, Chiefs (AFC West)


NFC

Teams that have clinched postseason berths: Eagles, Cowboys, 49ers (NFC West), Vikings (NFC North)

Week 16 AFC playoff-clinching scenarios

Opponent: Atlanta Falcons (5-9) | Saturday, 1:00 p.m. ET, FOX

Baltimore clinches playoff berth with:

  • BAL win + MIA loss or tie + NE loss or tie OR

  • BAL win + MIA loss or tie + NYJ loss or tie OR

  • BAL win + NE loss or tie + NYJ loss or tie OR

  • BAL tie + NE loss + NYJ loss OR

  • BAL tie + NE loss + MIA loss + LAC win OR

  • BAL tie + NE loss + MIA loss + NYJ tie OR

  • BAL tie + NE loss + NYJ tie + LAC win OR

  • BAL tie + NE tie + NYJ loss + MIA loss OR

  • BAL tie + NE tie + NYJ tie + MIA loss + LAC win OR

  • NE loss + NYJ loss + CLE loss or tie + LV loss or tie + TEN loss or tie + LAC win


Opponent: Chicago Bears (3-11) | Saturday, 1:00 p.m. ET, CBS

Buffalo clinches AFC East division title with:

  • BUF win or tie OR

  • MIA loss or tie


Opponent: New England Patriots (7-7) | Saturday, 1:00 p.m. ET, CBS

Cincinnati clinches playoff berth with:

  • CIN win or tie OR

  • NEW loss or tie


Opponent: Indianapolis Colts (4-9-1) | Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN

Chargers clinch playoff berth with:

  • LAC win + LV loss or tie + NE loss + NYJ loss OR

  • LAC win + LV loss or tie + NE loss + NYJ tie + MIA loss OR

  • LAC win + LV loss or tie + NE tie + NYJ loss + MIA loss

Week 16 NFC playoff-clinching scenarios

Opponent: Minnesota Vikings (11-3) | Saturday, 1:00 p.m. ET, FOX

Giants clinch playoff berth with:

  • NYG win + WAS loss + DET loss OR

  • NYG win + WAS loss + SEA loss OR

  • NYG win + DET loss + SEA loss


Opponent: Dallas Cowboys (10-4) | Saturday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX

Philadelphia clinches NFC East division title with:

Philadelphia clinches home-field advantage and the NFC’s lone first-round bye with:

NFL playoff chances, per ESPN’s Football Power Index

Team Playoffs
chances
Division title
chances
Top seed
chances
KC Clinched Clinched 42.8%
VALLEY Clinched 1.5% 0.4%
PHI Clinched 98.5% 98.3%
BUF Clinched 99.6% 56.4%
CIN >99.9% 60.6% 0.8%
SF Clinched Clinched 0.2%
MY Clinched Clinched 1.1%
CAMPFIRE 99.4% 39.4%
LAC 93.5% NOW
NEW 92.0%
TB 76.3% 76.3%
MIA 73.6% 0.4%
TEN 59.3% 59.1%
JAX 41.0% 40.8%
WSH 35.2%
SEA 34.4% NOW
THE 26.8% NOW
CAR 18.7% 18.7%
NO 14.3%
NEW 14.1%
GB 11.5% NOW
LV 4.0% NOW
ATL 2.7% 2.7%
NO 2.4% 2.3%
CLE 0.5%
PIT 0.1%
IND 0.1% 0.1%

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