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2022 NFL Week 17 playoff picture: Clinching scenarios, standings

Posted on December 29, 2022

7:00 AM ET

  • ESPN staff

With just two weeks left in the 2022 NFL regular season, the playoff picture is shaping up. More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. However, the race to the playoffs continues as top teams in both conferences are still looking to lock in their spots for the postseason and have a chance to do so in Week 17.

In the AFC, the Buffalo Bills look to clinch home-field advantage and a first-round bye with a win against the Cincinnati Bengals, who are hoping to claim the AFC North division title.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have entered the NFC playoff race and can clinch the NFC South with a win. The New York Giants are still hoping to grab a playoff spot, and the Philadelphia Eagles look to finish off their near-perfect regular season with home-field advantage.

Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 17 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 teams making the field, seven from each conference.

NFL playoff matchups as it stands now

AFC

Teams that have clinched postseason berths: Bills (East), Chiefs (West), Bengals, Ravens, Chargers


NFC

Teams that have clinched postseason berths: Eagles, Cowboys, 49ers (West), Vikings (North)

Week 17 AFC playoff-clinching scenarios

Opponent: Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) | Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC

Buffalo clinches home-field advantage and the AFC’s lone first-round bye with:


Opponent: Buffalo Bills (12-3) | Monday, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC

Cincinnati clinches the AFC North with:


Opponent: New England Patriots (7-8) | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Miami clinches playoff berth with:

Week 17 NFC playoff-clinching scenarios

Opponent: Indianapolis Colts (4-10-1) | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS

Giants clinch playoff berth with:

  • NEW win OR

  • NYG tie + SEA loss or tie + WSH loss or tie OR

  • NYG tie + SEA loss or tie + DET loss or tie OR

  • NYG tie + WSH loss or tie + DET loss or tie + GB loss or tie OR

  • SEA loss + WSH loss OR

  • SEA loss + DET loss + GB loss or tie OR

  • WSH loss + DET loss + GB loss


Opponent: New Orleans Saints (6-9), | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Philadelphia clinches the NFC East with:

  • PHI win or tie OR

  • DAL loss or tie

Philadelphia clinches home-field advantage and the NFC’s lone first-round bye with:


Opponent: Carolina Panthers (6-9) | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Tampa Bay clinches the NFC South with:


Opponent: Cleveland Browns (6-9) | Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX

Washington clinches playoff berth with:


NFL playoff chances, per ESPN’s Football Power Index

Team Playoffs
chances
Division title
chances
Top seed
chances
CAMPFIRE Clinched 34.7% now
BUF Clinched Clinched 52.5%
CIN Clinched 65.3% 9.1%
VALLEY Clinched 2.1% 1.3%
KC Clinched Clinched 38.4%
MY Clinched Clinched 1.0%
PHI Clinched 97.9% 97.5%
LAC Clinched now now
SF Clinched Clinched 0.2%
NEW 95.2% now now
JAX 78.9% 78.8% now
MIA 67.9% now now
TB 65.9% 65.9% now
GB 36.9% now now
CAR 32.2% 32.2% now
SEA 28.3% now now
WSH 22.4% now now
TEN 21.2% 21.2% now
NO 19.2% now now
THE 16.9% now now
NEW 10.2% now now
NO 2.2% 1.9% now
PIT 1.9% now now
LV 0.8% now now

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